The Inside Elections Podcast

Episode 70: O-H I-O Primaries w/ Henry J. Gomez of NBC News

Tue, 28 Apr 2026 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Henry J. Gomez of NBC News break down all of the upcoming primaries in Ohio. The trio also analyzes whether incumbent Democrats Marcy Kaptur, Greg Landsman and Emilia Sykes or Republicans representatives Max Miller and Mike Turner will be returning to Congress, takes an early look at the huge Senate race between GOP Sen. Jon Husted and former Democratic senator Sherrod Brown, and talks about whether Democrats really have a shot of winning the race for governor.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@HenryJGomez

@InsideElections

The Inside Elections podcast analyzes congressional, presidential and gubernatorial races in a nonpartisan, data-driven, and accessible way. With a combination of reporting and data, Inside Elections brings valuable context to complex races. Go to InsideElections.com to subscribe to the bi-weekly newsletter through individual subscriptions and group packages that are tailored for association and corporate PACs.

Referenced articles:

Police responded to report of ‘domestic dispute’ at Ohio governor candidate’s home in 2019 [NBC News]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/amy-acton-police-domestic-dispute-ohio-governor-candidate-home-rcna269188

Iowa 3: Will a Wave Crash on Nunn? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/iowa-3-nunn-trone-garriott-des-moines

How Vivek Ramaswamy’s campaign for Ohio governor returned him to the ‘real world’ [NBC News]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/vivek-ramaswamys-campaign-ohio-governor-returned-real-world-rcna253231

Ohio Senate: Can Husted Hold On? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/ohio-senate-can-husted-hold-on

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-april-21-2026

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-april-23-2026

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-march-26-2026

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 69: Redistricting War Hits Virginia w/ Randi B. Hagi of WMRA Public Radio

Fri, 17 Apr 2026 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Randi B. Hagi of WMRA Public Radio tackle the latest in the nationwide redistricting war. They analyze whether the Virginia referendum will pass, which Republican incumbents could be at risk of losing re-election from the Democratic-drawn map and how a new Virginia map will affect the overall fight for the House majority. In addition, Jacob is part-way through a new spy novel while Nathan has too many questions about Randi’s roller derby hobby.

Twitter profiles: @nathanlgonzales @jacobrubashkin @HagiRandi @InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Quick Draw: Congressional Candidates on Redistricting Virginia [WMAR]

https://www.wmra.org/quick-draw-congressional-candidates-on-redistricting-virginia

Virginia Redistrict: Democrats Pushing for Four More Seats

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/virginia-redistricting-democrats-pushing-for-four-more-seats

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-april-14-2026

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-march-26-2026

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-march-26-2026

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 68: The 21st Century Campaign Ad Draft w/ Erin Covey and Kirk Bado

Fri, 03 Apr 2026 09:00:00 -0400

Jacob Rubashkin, Erin Covey of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, and Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline draft the best and most iconic campaign ads of the 21st century. It’s spring break, so the crew also discusses their ideal vacation destinations, and some good books and articles we’ve read recently.

Twitter profiles:

@jacorubashkin

@ercovey

@kirk_bado

@insideelections

Referenced articles:

What Does It Take To Crack the Inner Circle of Political Consultants?

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/what-does-it-take-to-crack-the-inner-circle-of-political-consultants

The oldest job in journalism: New York Post ‘runners’ defy AI

https://www.semafor.com/article/03/29/2026/the-oldest-job-in-journalism-new-york-post-runners-defy-ai

Jason Kander’s Ad Seen ‘Round the Country: Will It Work?

https://rollcall.com/2016/09/21/jason-kanders-ad-seen-round-the-country-will-it-work/

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-february-5-2026

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-january-12-2026

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-january-16-2026

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 67: Democrats Favored to Win House Majority w/ Mary Ellen McIntire of Roll Call

Fri, 20 Mar 2026 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Mary Ellen McIntire of Roll Call analyze the fight for the House majority including a dozen recent race rating changes by Inside Elections. Democrats need a net gain of three seats in the November general election and are favored to take control from Republicans. Mel also reveals her favorite Easter candy, Jacob has another favorite book, and Nathan recommends yet another band that Jacob has never heard of.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@MelMcIntire

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

At the Races: Crypto’s Next Stand [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2026/03/19/at-the-races-cryptos-next-stand/

https://rollcall.com/newsletters/?newsletter=at-the-races

Illinois Primary Results: Democrats Nominate Likely New Members [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/illinois-primary-results-democrats-nominate-likely-new-members

Big spenders have mixed night in Illinois as progressives mostly come up short [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2026/03/18/big-spenders-have-mixed-night-in-illinois-as-progressives-mostly-come-up-short/

House Overview: Democrats Favored to Win House Majority [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/house-overview-democrats-favored-to-win-the-majority

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-march-12-2026

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-march-5-2026

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-january-16-2026

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 66: The Land of Illinois Primaries w/ Shia Kapos of Politico

Fri, 27 Feb 2026 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Shia Kapos of Politico dive deep into the upcoming Illinois primaries including the Democratic race to succeed Sen. Dick Durbin and a handful of crowded and competitive House primaries, where as little as 20 percent of the vote could be enough to effectively become a Member of Congress. Shia and Jacob also reveal their latest book finds and Nathan has to show off his Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks gear.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@ShiaKapos

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Giannoulias banks $9M amid mayoral buzz [Politico Illinois Playbook]

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/illinois-playbook/2026/02/26/giannoulias-banks-9m-mayoral-buzz-00799906

Illinois Senate: House of Three, Who Will it Be? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/illinois-senate-stratton-krishnamoorthi-kelly

Texas: Republicans, Democrats Face Critical Early Primaries [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/texas-republicans-democrats-face-critical-early-primaries

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-february-5-2026

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-january-12-2026

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-january-16-2026

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 65: Even the Primaries are Big in Texas w/ Gabby Birenbaum of Texas Tribune

Thu, 12 Feb 2026 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune run down the biggest primaries in Texas including the Republican and Democratic Senate primaries and run through the Republican and Democratic House incumbents who might not even get renominated. Also, Jacob can’t stop watching reality TV, Gabby plugs the latest and best political biography and Nathan watched a movie that apparently no one else has seen.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@birenbaum

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Why Cornyn is Still at Risk of Losing in Texas [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2025/10/20/john-cornyn-texas-senate-reelection-paxton/

GOP Senate candidates pitch themselves as best to boost down-ballot Republicans [Texas Tribune]

https://www.texastribune.org/2026/02/11/texas-us-senate-gop-primary-down-ballot-coattails-2026/

On the issues: a Q&A with the Texas Republicans running for the Senate [Texas Tribune]

https://www.texastribune.org/2026/02/05/texas-us-senate-republicans-2026-primary-q-and-a-voter-guide-cornyn-hunt-paxton/

Could Democrats Break the Texas Gerrymander? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/could-democrats-break-the-texas-gerrymander

A Detailed Analysis of Texas’ New Congressional Map [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/a-detailed-analysis-of-texas-new-congressional-map

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-february-5-2026

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-january-12-2026

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-january-16-2026

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 64: ICE Shootings + Minnesota Elections w/ Ryan Faircloth of Star Tribune

Sat, 31 Jan 2026 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Ryan Faircloth of the Star Tribune analyze the impact of the surge of ICE agents and border patrol and two fatal shootings in the Twin Cities on key Minnesota races for governor, Senate and the House and talk about how previous political assassinations in the state and recent attack on Rep. Ilhan Omar has affected candidates in Minnesota.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@RyanFaircloth

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

U.S. Senator Amy Klubuchar Jumps Into Minnesota’s Governor’s Race [Star-Tribune]

https://www.startribune.com/us-sen-amy-klobuchar-jumps-into-minnesota-governors-race/601569630

Democrats win two special elections for Minnesota House seats [Star-Tribune

https://www.startribune.com/two-special-elections-tuesday-for-minnesota-house-seats/601571183

Republicans in Minnesota were bullish on their election chances. Then ICE arrived [Star-Tribune]

https://www.startribune.com/republicans-in-minnesota-were-bullish-about-their-election-chances-then-ice-arrived/601571152

2026 Senate Overview: Democrats Making Progress [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-senate-overview-democrats-making-progress

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-december-5-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-january-12-2026

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-january-16-2026

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 63: 2026 Election Predictions w/ Jonathan Martin of Politico

Thu, 15 Jan 2026 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Jonathan Martin of Politico make their bold predictions for 2026, covering the fights for the House, Senate, governors and the beginning of the 2028 presidential race. Jacob and Nathan also cover the can’t miss headlines and latest news in races in Alaska, Florida, Wyoming and New Jersey.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@jmart

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Alaska Senate: Peltola Puts Seat on Battleground [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/alaska-senate-mary-peltola-dan-sullivan-battleground-lean-republican

16 Predictions for American Politics in 2026 [Politico]

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/12/31/2026-politics-predictions-quiz-00708039

Wyoming Senate: Cowboy State Roundup [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/wyoming-senate-hageman-gordon-gray-lummis

Attorney Married to Ex-NFL Star Exploring Run for Congress [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/attorney-married-to-ex-nfl-star-explores-nj09-pou-plaxico-tiffany-burress

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-december-5-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-january-12-2026

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-january-2-2026

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 62: Holiday Mailbag w/ Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Mon, 22 Dec 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin tackle tough end-of-the-year questions with a holiday mailbag episode. From the state of the midterm elections, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s electoral future, and each party’s recruitment holes in the fight for the House to the Roman Empire, Star Trek and the Seattle Seahawks, Jacob and Nathan cover a lot of territory.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

North Carolina Senate: Tar Heel Target [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/north-carolina-senate-whatley-cooper-morrow-tillis

New Jersey 11 Special: A Morris & Essex Mess [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/new-jersey-11-special-a-morris-essex-mess

Nebraska 2: High Stakes in Omaha [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/nebraska-2-high-stakes-in-omaha-bacon-cavanaugh-powell-harding-lindstrom

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-december-5-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-december-19-2025

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2025-26-gubernatorial-ratings-august-28-2025

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 61: "I Know Nothing About Anything But Politics" with Larry Sabato of UVA's Center for Politics + Crystal Ball

Thu, 11 Dec 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin cover the latest House and Senate election news and discuss the art of political handicapping with the University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato, one of the most prominent analysts in the country.

Twitter profiles: @nathanlgonzales @jacobrubashkin @kirk_bado @LarrySabatao @InsideElections

Referenced articles:

It’s Beginning to Look a Lot Like a Traditional Midterm [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-traditional-midterm-election-tennessee-special-election

Is the House battleground going back to the future [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2025/11/19/house-battleground-midterm-elections-2026/

Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-december-5-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-october-22-2025

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2025-26-gubernatorial-ratings-august-28-2025

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 60: What Should Republicans and Democrats be Thankful For? w/ Kirk Bado of National Journal's Hotline

Wed, 26 Nov 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline celebrate Thanksgiving by prescribing what Republicans, Democrats and even President Donald Trump should be thankful for in this holiday season. Jacob and Kirk also discuss good and bad recent movies while Nathan is thankful for the Seattle Seahawks star wide receiver breaking receiving records of a former congressman from Oklahoma.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@kirk_bado

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Maryland 6: Trone Polls Primary Matchup Against Incumbent McClain Delaney? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/maryland-6-trone-delaney-primary-poll

Tennessee 7 Special: Democrats in Green? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/tennessee-7-democrats-in-the-green-van-epps-behn

10 Things Losing Candidates Say [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/news/article/10-things-losing-candidates-say

Why Cornyn is Still at Risk of Losing in Texas [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2025/10/20/john-cornyn-texas-senate-reelection-paxton/

The Congresswoman and the Taxpayer-funded TV ads [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/the-congresswoman-cherfilus-mccormick-the-taxpayer-funded-tv-ads

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-november-20-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-october-22-2025

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2025-26-gubernatorial-ratings-august-28-2025

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 59: 2025 Election Results + Shutdown Politics w/ Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press

Mon, 10 Nov 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press discuss their key takeaways from the recent elections in Virginia, New Jersey, California and New York City and talk about how the recent Senate vote to end the government shutdown could impact the 2026 midterm elections. Nathan also gives an update on the Dallas Dragons, as they make their way through the 5A Oregon High School football playoffs.a

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@leahaskarinam

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

12 Initial Takeaways from Tuesday’s Elections [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/12-initial-takeaways-from-tuesdays-elections

A Detailed Analysis of California’s (Maybe) New Congressional Map [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/a-detailed-analysis-california-redistricting-new-map-texas-gerrymandering

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-november-6-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-october-22-2025

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2025-26-gubernatorial-ratings-august-28-2025

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 58: New California Map Shakes Up Redistricting War w/ Melanie Mason of Politico

Thu, 30 Oct 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico analyze the fate of Proposition 50 in California as Gov. Gavin Newsom and Democrats try to counter President Donald Trump and Republicans’ efforts to redistrict in GOP states nationwide. The crew also walks through more than half a dozen individual seats and current incumbents that will be impacted if voters approve the new map.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@melmason

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

A Detailed Analysis of California’s (Maybe) New Congressional Map [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/a-detailed-analysis-california-redistricting-new-map-texas-gerrymandering

Brad Pitt and Minnesota’s 8th District [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2013/06/10/brad-pitt-and-minnesotas-8th-district/

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-october-23-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-october-22-2025

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2025-26-gubernatorial-ratings-august-28-2025

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 57: Can Anyone Beat Susan Collins in Maine? w/ Alex Seitz-Wald of Midcoast Villager

Thu, 16 Oct 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Alex Seitz-Wald of Midcoast Villager take a deep dive into Maine with a focus on the Democratic Senate primary between Gov. Janet Mills and oysterman Graham Platner before taking on Republican Susan Collins, a look at the 2nd District battle between Democratic Rep. Jared Golden and former GOP Gov. Paul LePage, and talk about which Bush family member is running for governor. Jacob also reveals is guilty pleasure TV show featuring C-list celebrities, Alex introduces the crew to indie harp pop and Nathan considers a concert in Baltimore featuring a metal Star Wars band.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@aseitzwald

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Midcoast Villager

https://www.midcoastvillager.com/

Maine 2: Turning LePage on Golden? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/maine-2-turning-lepage-on-golden

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2025-26-gubernatorial-ratings-august-28-2025

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-october-1-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-august-28-2025

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 56: Midterms, NFL, Kentucky Derby w/ Steve Kornacki of NBC News

Wed, 01 Oct 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Steve Kornacki of NBC News take a fresh look at the battle for the House majority with a little more than a year before the midterm elections, analyze the latest numbers in the race for governor in New Jersey this year and talk about how Steve went from covering Congress at Roll Call to covering sports for football and the Kentucky Derby for NBC Sports. The crew also discuss Jacob’s latest IMAX adventure, SEC football and Oregon high school football.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@SteveKornacki

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Iowa Senate: Democrats Reach for Open Seat? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/iowa-senate-democrats-reach-for-open-seat

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2025-26-gubernatorial-ratings-august-28-2025

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-september-29-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-august-28-2025

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 55: The Two Most Important Races of 2025 w/ Abby Turner of National Journal's Hotline

Thu, 18 Sep 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Turner of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the key messages and strategies ahead of the two biggest races of 2025 (the New Jersey and Virginia races for governor) as Republicans try to keep up their momentum from 2024 and Democrats try to get a bump heading into 2026. Jacob also celebrates victory over the Claw game, Abby gives an initial review of The Paper, and Nathan explains his dislike for awards shows despite his favorite comedian just hosting one.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@abbyyturner_

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Ahead of November elections, Democrats stress-test affordability message [National Journal]

https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/729562/ahead-of-november-elections-democrats-stress-test-affordability-message/?unlock=YYCZSP8994YC8S8U

2025-26 Gubernatorial Overview: Open Seat Bonanza [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/news/article/2025-2026-gubernatorial-overview-august-28-2025-open-seat-bonanza

2026 House Overview: Can Redistricting Cushion Potential Fall? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-house-overview-sept.-11-2025-can-redistricting-cushion-potential-fall

2026 Gubernatorial Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2025-26-gubernatorial-ratings-august-28-2025

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-september-11-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-august-28-2025

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 54: Big Texas Senate Primary + Redistricting w/ Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune

Tue, 09 Sep 2025 14:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Texas Tribune break down the critical Republican primary in the Texas Senate race between Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton and analyze the five individual House seats most affected by Republicans’ mid-decade redistricting effort encouraged by President Donald Trump.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@birenbomb

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

A Detailed Analysis of Texas’ New Congressional Map [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/a-detailed-analysis-of-texas-new-congressional-map

How Democrats Pressured U.S. Rep. Lloyd Doggett to step aside for next generation [Texas Tribune]

https://www.texastribune.org/2025/09/08/lloyd-doggett-greg-casar-texas-redistricting-retirement-democrats-aust/

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-august-28-2025

Poll Finds Cornyn, Paxton in Dead Heat in Texas’ Senate GOP Primary [Texas Tribune]

https://www.texastribune.org/2025/08/15/paxton-cornyn-texas-senate-poll-august-emerson/

Iowa Senate: Ernest Out, Republicans Sill Favored [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/iowa-senate-ernst-out-republicans-still-favored

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://manage.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-august-28-2025

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 53: OH-IO Senate Race & Redistricting Battles w/ Kyle Kondik of The Crystal Ball

Thu, 21 Aug 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Kyle Kondik of Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia dive into the Ohio Senate race where former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown is challenging Republican Sen. Jon Husted, who was appointed to replace Vice President J.D. Vance, in a difficult, must-win contest for Democrats. The episode also includes Jacob’s new favorite Mexican restaurant, Kyle’s love for Rome, and Nathan’s journey in selling his old toys online.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@kkondik

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Ohio Senate: Brown Decision Shifts Race Out of Solid [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/ohio-senate-sherrod-brown-decision-shifts-race-out-of-solid-jon-husted

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/parties-engage-in-redistricting-arms-race

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-august-12-2025

How the Redistricting Fight Could Change the Bias in the House [Crystal Ball]

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/how-the-redistricting-fight-could-change-the-bias-in-the-house-and-other-notes-on-the-state-of-politics/

Inside Elections merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 52: 2026 Senate Map & New Race Ratings

Thu, 24 Jul 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin focus on the 2026 Senate map including a deep dive into four most important states at the core of the battleground (Georgia, Maine, Michigan and North Carolina) as well as other important states to watch including Iowa, Texas, Alaska, New Hampshire and Minnesota. Jacob reveals more book recommendations while Nathan is the undisputed King of Roller Coasters at Inside Elections after his visit to Cedar Point.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

2026 Senate Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-july-24-2025

2026 Senate Overview: Will There be More Beyond the Core Four? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-senate-overview-will-there-be-more-beyond-the-core-four

Individual Senate Race Updates by State: Alabama to Kansas [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-senate-overview-july-24-2025-alabama-kansas

Individual Senate Race Updates by State: Kentucky to New Mexico [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-senate-overview-july-24-2025-kentucky-new-mexico

Individual Senate Race Updates by State: North Carolina to Wyoming [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-senate-overview-july-24-2026-north-carolina-wyoming

Arizona 7 Special: All in the Family [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/arizona-7-all-in-the-family-grijalva-foxx-hernandez

2026 House Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-june-30-2025

Inside Elections death metal shirts [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 51: All Things Iowa w/ Brianne Pfannenstiel of The Des Moines Register

Tue, 15 Jul 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Jacob Rubashkin and Brianne Pfannenstiel of The Des Moines Register break down the key Iowa races including Republican Senator Joni Ernst’s fight for re-election, the race for the open governorship left behind by Republican Kim Reynolds and multiple competitive House races where Republican incumbents Zach Nunn, Ashley Hinson and Mariannette Miller Meeks are all trying to hang on for another term.

Twitter profiles:

@jacobrubashkin

@brianneDMR

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Zach Nunn will run for reelection to Congress, not governor [Des Moines Register]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2025/07/11/zach-nunn-to-run-for-reelection-to-congress-not-governor-trump-happy/84681457007/

Iowa 1: Third Time’s a Charm? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/iowa-1-third-times-a-charm

2026 House Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-june-30-2025

2026 Senate Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-june-29-2025

Inside Elections death metal shirts [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 50: History of Nonpartisan Political Analysis w/ Stuart Rothenberg

Wed, 02 Jul 2025 08:30:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin chat with Stuart Rothenberg about the beginnings of modern political handicapping, nonpartisan journalism, and some of his favorite moments covering elections for more than four decades. Stu is a Roll Call columnist, former CNN contributor and editor and publisher of The Rothenberg Political Report, which was the foundation for Inside Elections. Stu and Charlie Cook are the godfathers of nonpartisan election analysis in Washington and around the country.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@StuPolitics

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

For the thousandth time, don’t call them “push polls” [Roll Call]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/for-the-thousandth-time-dont-call-them-push-polls

Twitter Can’t Yet Predict Elections [Roll Call]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/twitter-cant-yet-predict-elections

Personal Take on Brain Injuries and Senate Bids [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2011/02/16/personal-take-on-brain-injuries-and-senate-bids/

Reflections on 20 years as a Roll Call columnist [Roll Call]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/reflections-on-20-years-as-accidental-columnist

Nebraska 2: Without Bacon, Are Republicans Cooked? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/nebraska-2-without-bacon-are-republicans-cooked

North Carolina Senate: Tillis Decision Creates Open Seat [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/north-carolina-senate-tillis-decision-creates-open-seat

2026 House Ratings (June 30, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-june-30-2025

2026 Senate Ratings (June 29, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-june-29-2025

Inside Elections t-shirts and merchandise [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 49: Congressional Women's Softball Game + Trump's Latino Voters w/ Bridget Bowman | NBC News

Wed, 25 Jun 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin preview the annual women’s congressional softball game for charity with co-organizer Atalie Ebersole of the Pet Food Institute and Bridget Bowman of NBC News. It’s a wide-ranging episode that also includes Trump’s Latino support, Bruce Springsteen, Orlando Bloom, Snoop Dogg, Kendrick Lamar, Sza and an astronaut.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@bridgetbhc

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Congressional Women’s Softball Game [tickets and sponsorships]

https://www.congwomensoftball.org/

New Jersey Governor: Sherrill and Ciattarelli Were Born to Run [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/new-jersey-governor-sherrill-and-ciattarelli-were-born-to-run

Focus groups: Latino Trump voters diverge on deportations but largely still back the president [NBC News]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/focus-groups-latino-trump-voters-diverge-deportations-largely-still-ba-rcna213461

2026 House Ratings (June 5, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-june-5-2025

2026 Senate Ratings (June 5, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-june-5-2025

Inside Elections t-shirts and merchandise [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 48: Congressional Baseball Game Preview (and the fight for the Senate Majority) w/ Nathaniel Rakich

Mon, 09 Jun 2025 23:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathaniel Rakich (formerly of FiveThirtyEight) preview the upcoming annual congressional baseball game for charity between Republicans and Democrats and analyze the key Senate race in Iowa that could impact which party controls the Senate in 2026 and could give Democrats a star pitcher in upcoming baseball games. In addition, Jacob makes a book recommendation, Nathaniel reveals how to get into the Supreme Court, and Nathan confesses an unpopular opinion about not liking one of the country’s most popular music artists.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@baseballot

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

The Congressional Baseball Game is Likely Republican [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/the-congressional-baseball-game-is-likely-republican

2026 House Overview: Republicans vs. History [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-house-overview-june-5-2025-republicans-vs.-history

2026 House Ratings (June 5, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-june-5-2025

2026 Senate Ratings (June 5, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-june-5-2025

Missouri 2: Cardinal Pitcher Adam Wainwright Recruited to Challenge Ann Wagner [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/missouri-2-cardinal-pitcher-adam-wainwright-recruited-to-challenge-ann-wagn

Inside Elections t-shirts and merchandise [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 47: What Off-Year? New Jersey Governor w/ Madison Fernandez of Politico

Thu, 22 May 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Madison Fernandez of Politico analyze the upcoming race for governor in New Jersey including the Democratic and Republican primaries and the general election, which will get even more national attention this fall as one of the first opportunities for Democrats to find their way out of the political wilderness. And Madison reveals her love for musicals, Jacob talks about his new favorite podcast and Nathan is a little too excited about the new Inside Elections death metal t-shirts.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@madfernandez616

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

New Jersey Governor: Garden State Gaggle [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/news/article/new-jersey-governor-garden-state-gaggle

Trump’s chaotic economy is causing headaches for Democrats in New Jersey’s governor race [Politico]

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/14/democrats-new-jersey-affordability-governors-race-00345971

Donald Trump takes sides in New Jersey’s GOP primary for governor [Politico]

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/12/donald-trump-takes-sides-in-new-jerseys-gop-primary-for-governor-00343304

2026 House Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-april-17-2025

2026 Senate Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-april-23-2025

Inside Elections death metal shirts [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

The Pale Moonlight show May 30 [Phanton Power]

https://www.phantompower.net/

Episode 46: What's the Deal with Redistricting? w/ David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report

Wed, 07 May 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter analyze the handful of states where redistricting and new congressional maps could affect the fight for the House majority and take a broader look at how redistricting impacts our elections and the partisan mood of the country. Jacob also unveils a quality book recommendation, Dave reveals a hack for parents with young kids, and one of the podcast’s producers has a new band playing a show at the end of the month.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@redistrict

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

House Redistricting Status Update [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/house-redistricting-status-update

2026 House Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-april-17-2025

2026 Senate Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-april-23-2025

David Wasserman Chosen as Carnegie Fellow [The Cook Political Report]

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/press/cook-political-reports-david-wasserman-honored-2024-carnegie-fellow

The Pale Moonlight - A Tale Too Terrible to Tell [YouTube]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OCfGyemMzB4

The Pale Moonlight show May 30 [Phanton Power]

https://www.phantompower.net/

Sweet Inside Elections t-shirts and merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 45: Covering Trump Agenda on the Ground in Key States + Election Coverage w/ Adam Levy of the BBC

Thu, 24 Apr 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Adam Levy of the BBC analyze the impact of tariffs, immigration and President Donald Trump’s economic agenda in local economies in key states including Ohio and Florida ahead of the midterm elections and discuss how U.S. election coverage has changed over the years and how it’s different to domestic and foreign audiences. There’s also robust conversation of IMAX movie experiences, ramps, and the Canadian pop punk scene.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@adamplevy

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

It’s time for age limits for members of Congress [ Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2025/04/22/age-limits-member-congress-constitution/

Illinois Senate: Durbin’s Retirement Sets Up Crowded Democratic Primary [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/illinois-senate-durbins-retirement-sets-up-crowded-democratic-primary

Small shop owners will struggle to carry tariff costs, businessman warns [BBC]

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c4g2l654dket?post=asset%3Ab2495963-22c4-4762-abcb-d4f08ce4e1a5#post

2026 Senate Overview: Open-minded about Outcomes [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-senate-overview-april-17-2025-open-minded-about-outcomes

2026 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-april-17-2025

2026 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-april-23-2025

Sweet Inside Elections t-shirts and merch [Dashery]

https://inside-elections.dashery.com/

Episode 44: Trump, Tariffs, the Economy & Elections w/ Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News

Fri, 11 Apr 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Laura Weiss of Punchbowl News analyze how President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the uncertainty of the economy and stock market affect his relationship with Republicans on Capitol Hill and how it could threaten Republicans’ majority in the House and the Senate in next year’s midterm elections. Also, Jacob brings Nathan up to speed on the difference between the Jack Reacher books, TV show and movies and Nathan returns to the scene of the Republican National Convention, but this time for a gaming convention.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@lauraeweiss16

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Trump's tariff policies complicate Republicans' turnout dilemma [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2025/04/09/trump-tariffs-republican-turnout-midterms/

Special Elections Confirm Changed Political Environment [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/special-elections-confirm-changed-political-environment

2026 Senate Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-february-20-2025

2026 House Race Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-march-7-2025

Senate Dems push back as GOP agenda moves forward [Punchbowl]

https://punchbowl.news/article/senate/schumer-senate-dems-push-back-on-republican-agenda/

Episode 43: A Potential Democratic Upset in Florida, and More Upcoming House Specials w/ Erin Covey of the Cook Political Report

Sun, 30 Mar 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey talk through the potential for a Democratic upset in the special election for Florida's 6th District, as well as what we'll learn from the outcome there and in Florida's 1st District. The episode also touches on upcoming special elections in Texas' 18th District and Arizona's 7th District.

Twitter profiles:

@jacobrubashkin

@ercovey

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Dems Take a Special Election Seat in Pennsylvania That Republicans Thought Was Safe [NOTUS]

https://www.notus.org/2026-election/dems-special-election-seat-pennsylvania

Florida Special Elections Come Into Focus [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/florida-special-elections-come-into-focus

Episode 42: House Ratings & Sleeper Races w/ James Downs of National Journal's Hotline

Thu, 13 Mar 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and James Downs of National Journal’s Hotline analyze the fight for the House majority, the 10 key Toss-up races, and some potential surprise races in places that haven’t been competitive for years. The episode also includes Jacob’s recent purchase of a political plate, James’s journey to find a political button and Nathan discovers a musical that’s been around for more than half a century.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@jamesd0wns

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

2026 House Ratings (March 7, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2026-house-ratings-march-7-2025

2026 House Overview: The Fight of the Cycle [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-house-overview-march-7-2025-the-fight-of-the-cycle

Initial 2026 House race ratings show more Republicans in toss-up seats [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2025/03/10/house-midterm-elections-race-ratings/

Episode 41: Big, Nice Minnesota Races w/ Briana Bierschbach of The Star-Tribune

Thu, 27 Feb 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Briana Bierschbach of the Minnesota Star-Tribune analyze the fight for the Minnesota Senate seat left behind by retiring Democratic Sen. Tina Smith, talk about whether DFL Gov. Tim Walz will seek a historic third term and look ahead to who might run for Rep. Angie Craig’s competitive seat if she decides to run statewide. The episode also includes plenty of pro wrestling references along with Jacob’s early reviews of White Lotus Season 3, Nathan’s Austin barbecue recommendation, and Briana’s tips on getting babies to fall asleep.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@JessicaTaylor

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Minnesota Senate: Smith Decision Creates Open Seat [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/minnesota-senate-smith-decision-creates-open-seat

Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan announces run for U.S. Senate, Rep. Ilhan Omar considering [Star-Tribune]

https://www.startribune.com/minnesota-lt-gov-peggy-flanagan-announces-run-for-us-senate/601221717

2026 Senate Ratings (February 20, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-february-20-2025

Episode 40: Top 3 Most Important Races for Governor w/ Jessica Taylor of The Cook Political Report

Thu, 13 Feb 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Jessica Taylor of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter analyze the top three biggest races for governor in the 2026 cycle, the three most difficult races to rate at this early stage, and what’s ahead for the 2025 races for governor in Virginia and New Jersey. Jacob and Jessica also admit their latest favorite TV shows and Nathan tries to explain why he doesn’t like snow.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@JessicaTaylor

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

2026 Governor Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2025-26-gubernatorial-ratings-february-6-2025

2026 Gubernatorial Overview: Beyond the Beltway [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-gubernatorial-overview-beyond-the-beltway

Virginia Governor: Historic No Matter What [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/virginia-governor-historic-no-matter-what-sears-spanberger

2026 CPR Governor Ratings [Cook Political Report w/ Amy Walter]

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings

2026 Governors Ratings: Huge Map Invites a Whirlwind of Competitive [Cook Political Report w/ Amy Walter]

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/governors/governors-overview/2026-governors-ratings-huge-map-invites-whirlwind-competition

Episode 39: Surprise Michigan Senate Retirement Reaction w/ Melissa Nann Burke of The Detroit News

Thu, 30 Jan 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Melissa Nann Burke of The Detroit News analyze Democratic Sen. Gary Peters’ decision not to run for re-election in the battleground state of Michigan, discuss the candidates who might run for the open seat, and talk about the impact of the Senate race on the race for governor and key House races. Nathan and Jacob also highlight fresh political news in Florida, Ohio, Arizona and South Dakota, as well as Nathan’s struggle between Taco Bell and OrangeTheory.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@nannburke

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Who else is going to retire from the Senate? [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2025/01/29/senate-retirements-midterm-elections/

Michigan’s Gary Peters will not run for re-election to the Senate. Here’s why [Detroit News]

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2025/01/28/michigan-democratic-senator-gary-peters-will-not-run-for-reelection-to-us-senate-seat-2026/77985876007/

The Primary is the Ballgame in Two Florida House Specials [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/the-primary-is-the-ballgame-in-two-florida-house-specials

2026 Senate Ratings (January 9, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-january-9-2025

The Smallest Initial Senate Battleground Ever? [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2025/01/14/senate-initial-battleground-2026-elections/

Episode 38: Impact of Trump's Cabinet Picks? w/ Meg Kinnard of the AP

Fri, 17 Jan 2025 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Meg Kinnard of the Associated Press talk about the political dynamics and implications for President Donald Trump’s cabinet choices, analyze the initial 2026 Senate battleground including the five most important races and handicap how difficult it will be for Democrats to win the majority, and discuss the country’s declining trust in the media and what some media outlets are doing to regain some of that trust. And stay to the end to hear about Jacob’s trip to the Pez factory and museum, Nathan’s two new favorite Canadian pop bunk bands and why Meg needs to find a translator to finish her new favorite TV show.

Twitter profiles:

Referenced articles:

2026 Senate Overview: GOP Majority and Advantage [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/...

2026 Senate Ratings (January 9, 2025) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratin...

Ground Game political newsletter authored by Meg Kinnard [Associated Press]

https://apnews.com/hub/ground-game

House Ethics Committee Releases Initial Cherfilus-McCormick Report [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/...

The Smallest Initial Senate Battleground Ever? [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2025/01/14/senat...

Americans’ Trust in the Media Remains Low [Gallup]

https://news.gallup.com/poll/651977/a...

Episode 37: Election Hits & Misses, Key Nebraska Race, 2026 Senate and Online Scams

Fri, 13 Dec 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin talk about what they got right (and wrong) in the 2024 elections, do a deep dive into one of the most competitive House races in the country and how Rep. Don Bacon was able to survive, and look ahead to the 2026 fight for the Senate including a key race in North Carolina. Nathan also admits he got scammed online looking for some tickets.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

2024 Election Projections: How’d We Do? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-election-projections-howd-we-do

Repeat Candidates Largely Fall Short in the House [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/repeat-candidates-largely-fall-short-in-the-house

Nebraska 2: Bacon Cooks Democrats Again [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/nebraska-2-bacon-cooks-democrats-again

Don’t Count out Roy Cooper in 2026 [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2024/12/10/roy-cooper-governors-senate-election-2026/

One of these 5 people will (probably) be Trump’s running mate [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2023/09/21/one-of-these-five-people-will-probably-be-trumps-running-mate/

Episode 36: 2024 Election Results & Analysis with Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report

Tue, 19 Nov 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter discuss the 2024 election results including the fights for the White House, Senate, and House. In addition, Jacob finally gets around to watching L.A. Confidential, Amy talks about the hottest ticket in Washington, D.C. and Nathan showed up to DC’s Punk Rock Flea Market with his kids in a Honda Odyssey.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@amyewalter

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Electoral Implications of Trump’s Cabinet Picks [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/electoral-implications-of-trumps-cabinet-picks

Don’t Blame the Polls [The Cook Political Report]

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/dont-blame-polls

2024 Election Results: Few Surprises [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-election-results-few-surprises

2024 Senate Results Recap [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-senate-results-recap

2024 House Results Recap [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-house-results-recap

Episode 35: Pre-Election Projections w/ Kirk Bado of National Journal

Fri, 01 Nov 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline break down the fights for the Senate, House, and White House in the final pre-election episode of the 2024 elections.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@kirk_bado

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

2024 Elections will be Close, Probably…Maybe [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-elections-will-be-close-probablymaybe

Senate Report Shorts - October 31, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/senate-report-shorts-october-31-2024

House Report Shorts - October 31, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/house-report-shorts-october-31-2024

2024 Senate Ratings - October 31, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2024-senate-ratings-october-31-2024

2024 House Ratings - October 31, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2024-house-ratings-october-31-2024

Episode 34: Rating Changes, Debates, Election Nights, & Political Civility w/ Judy Woodruff

Fri, 25 Oct 2024 18:45:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin reveal the latest batch of House and Senate race rating changes and talk with legendary political journalist Judy Woodruff of the PBS Newshour about the 2024 election, prepping for Election Night, moderating debates and the lack of civility in America.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@judywoodruff

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Crossroads: A Conversation with America [PBS Newshour]

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/crossroads-a-conversation-with-america-a-pbs-news-special

Senate Report Shorts - October 18, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/senate-report-shorts-october-18-2024

House Report Shorts - October 18, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/house-report-shorts-october-18-2024

2024 Senate Ratings - October 18, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2024-senate-ratings-october-18-2024

2024 House Ratings - October 18, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2024-house-ratings-october-18-2024

2024 Elections Coming Down to the Wire [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-elections-coming-down-to-the-wire

Episode 33: Sleeper Race Poll in Arizona, Senate Ratings, House Races w/ Erin Covey of Cook Political Report

Thu, 17 Oct 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in a sleeper race in Arizona’s 2nd District and discuss race rating changes in the Nevada and Arizona Senate races before breaking down the fight for the House majority with Erin Covey of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@ercovey

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Senate Report Shorts - October 10, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/senate-report-shorts-october-10-2024

Democrats' Path to House Majority Depends on Harris' Showing in Her Own Backyard [Cook Political Report]

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/california-house/democrats-path-house-majority-depends-harris-showing-her-own

2024 Senate Ratings - October 10, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2024-senate-ratings-october-10-2024

2024 House Ratings - October 10, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2024-house-ratings-october-10-2024

10 Things Losing Candidates Say [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/news/article/10-things-losing-candidates-say

Arizona 2 Poll: Sleep Race Awakens [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/arizona-2-poll-crane-nez

Episode 32: New North Carolina Poll, VP Debate, Polls and Election Models w/ Nathaniel Rakich of 538

Thu, 03 Oct 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in North Carolina’s 1st District and analyze the vice presidential debate between Sen. J.D. Vance and Gov. Tim Walz before discussing election polls, models, and election forecasting with Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@baseballot

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

How to Read Political Polls in 2024 [FiveThirtyEight]

https://abcnews.go.com/538/read-political-polls-2024/story?id=113560546

Seven Initial Thoughts After the Vice Presidential Debate [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/7-initial-thoughts-after-the-vice-presidential-debate

2024 Presidential Electoral College Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/president/2024-presidential-ratings-august-29-2024

2024 Senate Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2024-senate-ratings-september-26-2024

2024 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2024-house-ratings-september-26-2024

Episode 31: New Montana Poll, Rating Changes, Connecticut 5 w/ Daniela Altimari of Roll Call

Thu, 19 Sep 2024 12:45:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District and discuss the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@capitolwatch

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Ready for the fight after narrow loss in 2022, Logan aims for Hayes in Connecticut House Seat [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2024/05/28/ready-for-the-fight-after-narrow-loss-in-2022-logan-aims-for-hayes-connecticut-house-seat/

A Potential Split Decision in the 2024 Elections [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/a-potential-split-decision-in-the-2024-elections

2024 Senate Ratings - Sept. 12, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2024-senate-ratings-september-12-2024

2024 House Ratings - Sept. 12, 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2024-house-ratings-september-12-2024

Rating changes show path to GOP control of Senate, House [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2024/09/16/ratings-changes-show-path-to-gop-control-of-senate-house/

Episode 30: New Oregon Poll, Rating Changes, Meeting the Press w/ Chuck Todd of NBC News

Wed, 04 Sep 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Oregon’s 5th District and the latest rating changes, and chat with former Meet the Press moderator Chuck Todd of NBC News about interviewing candidates and covering elections.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@chucktodd

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Searching for the Next, New Normal in the 2024 Elections [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/searching-for-the-next-new-normal-in-the-2024-elections

Republican and Democratic Conventions Were the Same, But Different [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/republican-and-democratic-conventions-were-the-same-but-different

House Ratings [Inside Elections, Aug. 29, 2024]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2024-house-ratings-august-29-2024

Episode 29: Harris Takes the Nomination, Democratic National Convention highlights from Chicago

Thu, 22 Aug 2024 15:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin discuss and analyze the first three days of the Democratic National Convention on location in Chicago, including the biggest themes, speeches and highlights, and the impact Vice President Kamala Harris is having on the presidential races and the fight for the House and Senate.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Bullish on Candidates Who Are Bearish on Chicago Attendance [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2024/08/20/bullish-on-candidates-who-are-bearish-about-chicago-attendance/

Episdoe 28: Biden Drops Out, Harris VP Pick, New Ohio Poll w/ Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press

Thu, 01 Aug 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press analyze the impact of President Joe Biden’s departure from the race and Vice President Kamala Harris’ ascension to the top of the Democratic ticket, talk about the various potential vice presidential picks for Harris, and release the latest exclusive poll by Noble Predictive Insights for Inside Elections in Ohio’s 9th District.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@leahaskarinam

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Ohio 9 Poll: Individual Brands Still Matter [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/ohio-9-poll-individual-brands-still-matter

Biden to Harris Transition Resets Presidential Race [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/biden-to-harris-transition-resets-presidential-race

The Political Calculations and Consequences of Vice President Harris’ Vice Presential Considerations [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/the-political-calculations-and-consequences-of-harriss-vice-presidential-co

Battleground polls tell tales of before and after Biden dropped out [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2024/07/31/battleground-polls-tell-tales-of-before-and-after-biden-dropped-out/

Michigan 7: The Last Man Standing in Lansing [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/michigan-7-the-last-man-standing-in-lansing

Episode 27: Assassination Attempt, Republican National Convention, New Michigan Poll from Milwaukee

Wed, 17 Jul 2024 19:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin, on location at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, analyze the state of the presidential race after the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump, talk about the first two days of the Republican convention, and release fresh polling data in Michigan’s 7th District, one of the most competitive races in the country.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Michigan 7 Poll Underscores Challenges for Democrats [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/michigan-7-poll-hertel-barrett-slotkin

The Relegation of the Washington, D.C. Delegation [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2024/07/16/the-relegation-of-the-washington-d-c-delegation/

Democrats Sinking or Swimming with Biden? [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/democrats-sinking-or-swimming-with-biden

Michigan 7: The Last Man Standing in Lansing [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/michigan-7-the-last-man-standing-in-lansing

Episode 26: Post-Debate Analysis + New York House Races with Emily Ngo of Politico

Fri, 28 Jun 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin look at the potential fallout from the CNN debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump and analyze a handful of key House races in New York with Emily Ngo of Politico.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@emilyngo

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Key Primary Results in Colorado, New York, South Carolina, and Utah [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/key-primary-results-in-colorado-new-york-south-carolina-and-utah

Why New York Democrats Aren’t Taking Chances [Politico]

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/new-york-playbook/2024/06/26/why-new-york-democrats-arent-taking-chances-00165024

2024 House Overview: Kansas to New York districts [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-house-overview-kansas-new-york

10 Things Losing Candidates Say [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/news/article/10-things-losing-candidates-say

Episode 25: Virginia Elections & Congressional Softball Game w/ Laura Vozzella of The Washington Post and Atalie Ebersole of Pet Food Institute

Thu, 13 Jun 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin analyze the upcoming Virginia primaries and general election with Laura Vozzella of The Washington Post and talk about the annual congressional softball game for breast cancer research with Atalie Ebersole of the Pet Food Institute.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@LVozzella

@aaepb89

@CWSoftballgame

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Congressional Women’s Softball Game [Website] https://www.congwomensoftball.org/
Virginia still seen as stretch for Trump despite two tied polls with Biden [Washington Post] https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2024/06/07/virginia-trump-biden-polls-tied/
GOP primary for Spanberger seat in Virginia heats up with attack ads [Washington Post] https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2024/06/08/virginia-7th-district-anderson-hamilton-ads/
March 28 Virginia House Overview [Inside Elections] https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-house-overview-march-28-2024-north-carolina-wisconsin
10 Things Losing Candidates Say [Inside Elections] https://insideelections.com/news/article/10-things-losing-candidates-say

Episode 24: Texas Runoffs, Nevada Races with Gabby Birenbaum of the Nevada Independent

Thu, 30 May 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Gabby Birenbaum of The Nevada Independent look ahead to key races in Nevada including upcoming primaries and a handful of consequential races that will help determine who sits in the White House and which party controls Congress.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@birenbomb

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Nevada [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-presidential-battlegrounds-nevada

Presidential Ratings Change: Nevada Shifts to Toss-up [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/presidential-rating-change-nevada-shifts-to-toss-up

Top GOP super PAC not spending in Vegas-area House races, breaking from past cycles [Nevada Independent]

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/top-gop-super-pac-not-spending-in-vegas-area-house-races-breaking-from-past-cycles?utm_source=The+Nevada+Independent&utm_campaign=b56e37e563-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2020_02_25_04_00_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_15592b5f76-b56e37e563-436305901

Meet Marty: Halo composer backed by Lombardo would be among wealthiest House members [Nevada Independent]

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/meet-marty-halo-composer-backed-by-lombardo-would-be-among-wealthiest-house-members?utm_source=The+Nevada+Independent&utm_campaign=b56e37e563-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2020_02_25_04_00_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_15592b5f76-b56e37e563-436305901

Could veterans swing Nevada's 2024 Senate race? [Nevada Independent]

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/could-veterans-swing-nevadas-2024-senate-race?utm_source=The+Nevada+Independent&utm_campaign=b56e37e563-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2020_02_25_04_00_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_15592b5f76-b56e37e563-436305901

Nevada Senate: Silver State Slugfest [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/nevada-senate-silver-state-slugfest

Episode 23: Oregon Primaries, Maryland Results with Dirk VanderHart of OPB

Thu, 16 May 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Dirk VanderHart of Oregon Public Broadcasting (OPB) look ahead to key House primaries in Oregon and look back at consequential results in Maryland, Nebraska, and West Virginia.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@dirquez

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Unveil Key Primary Results [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/maryland-nebraska-west-virginia-unveil-key-primary-results

The ‘Nepo Babies’ of the House of Representatives [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/the-nepo-babies-of-the-house-of-representatives

Flood of Outside Cash spicing up Democratic Primary for Oregon’s 3rd Congressional District [OPB]

https://www.opb.org/article/2024/05/07/congress-3rd-district-race-independent-pac-money-democrats-primary-blumenauer/

Episode 22: Mailbag with Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press

Fri, 03 May 2024 00:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press take questions in the first-ever mailbag episode, talking about races in Iowa, Florida, and New York, the number of astronauts turned politicians, and a look into the world of political handicapping.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@leahaskarinam

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

2022 Vote Above Replacement: House Challengers Running Again in 2024 [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2022-vote-above-replacement-house-challengers-running-again-in-2024

DNC restores New Hampshire's delegates after a nominating even unknown to many Democrats [Associated Press]

https://www.nhpr.org/ap-news/2024-05-01/the-dnc-restores-nhs-delegates-after-a-second-nominating-event-unknown-to-many-democrats

Episode 21: Maryland Senate and House Primaries w/ Pamela Wood of Baltimore Banner

Thu, 18 Apr 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Pamela Wood of the Baltimore Banner discuss the Democratic primary for the Senate in Maryland and a look ahead to the general election against Republican former Gov. Larry Hogan, as well as the Democratic primary in Maryland’s 3rd District featuring a former Capitol police officer who was at the capitol on Jan. 6.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@pwoodreporter

@InsideElections

Referenced articles: Maryland Senate: Primary Focus [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/maryland-senate-primary-trone-alsobrooks

Maryland Senate: Republicans’ Hero Hogan [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/maryland-senate-republicans-hero-hogan

Maryland’s U.S. Senate race among the most expensive in the nation [Baltimore Banner]

https://www.thebaltimorebanner.com/politics-power/national-politics/alsobrooks-trone-hogan-campaign-fundraising-XLDV3EJXP5E5BDR3BFFFQ4XM2M/

Episode 20: House Majority Fight, Race Rating Changes & Primaries w/ Bridget Bowman of NBC News

Thu, 04 Apr 2024 06:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Bridget Bowman of NBC News discuss the fight for the House majority, including Inside Elections recent rating changes in a dozen races, and upcoming primaries to watch.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@bridgetbhc

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

2024 House Ratings (March 28, 2024) [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2024-house-ratings-march-28-2024

Rating Changes: 12 House races shift on the divided battlefield [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2024/04/01/rating-changes-12-house-races-shift-on-divided-battlefield/

2024 House Overview: Road is Easier for the GOP [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-house-overview-road-is-easier-for-the-gop

New Litmus Test Rises in GOP Primaries: Ukraine Aid [NBC News]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/new-litmus-test-rises-gop-primaries-ukraine-aid-rcna146039

Episode 19: Illinois & Ohio Primary Results and Vulnerable Virginia Republican w/ Erin Covey of The Cook Political Report

Fri, 22 Mar 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter discuss key recent primary results in Illinois and Ohio, look ahead to the general election in the Ohio Senate race, and analyze Rep. Bob Good’s GOP primary challenge in Virginia. Erin and Jacob also discuss their love for the latest Lindsay Lohan movie.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@ercovey

@InsideElections

Referenced articles: Key Primary Results in Illinois and Ohio [Inside Elections] https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/key-primary-results-in-illinois-and-ohio

2024 Virginia House Analysis: Turning Over a New Leaf in the Old Dominion [The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter] https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/virginia-house/2024-virginia-house-analysis-turning-over-new-leaf-old-dominion

Episode 18: State of the Union & Super Tuesday Congressional Primaries w/ Mary Ellen McIntire of Roll Call

Fri, 08 Mar 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Mary Ellen McIntire of Roll Call talk about how the State of the Union speech and Republican response will impact congressional races, dive into key primaries from Super Tuesday that will help decide the House and Senate majorities and identify a handful of candidates who look like they are already headed to Congress next year.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@MelMcIntire

@InsideElections

Referenced articles: Key Super Tuesday Results in Alabama, North Carolina, and Texas Congressional Primaries [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/key-super-tuesday-results-in-alabama-north-carolina-and-texas-congressional

Key Results from Congressional Primaries on Super Tuesday [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2024/03/06/key-results-from-congressional-primaries-on-super-tuesday/

Episode 17: Texas House & Senate primaries w/ Abby Livingston of Puck News

Wed, 28 Feb 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Livingston of Puck News analyze the key upcoming House primaries in Texas, the Democratic primary for the right to challenge GOP Sen. Ted Cruz, and try to figure out which congressional district some recent TV shows and movies take place in.

Twitter Profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@AbbyLiv817

@InsideElections

Referenced articles: Texas Senate Overview [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-senate-overview-feb.-9-2024-pennsylvania-wyoming

Texas House Overview [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2024-house-overview-dec.-15-2023-north-carolina-wisconsin

Episode 16: New York 3 Special w/ Scott Eidler of Newsday

Wed, 14 Feb 2024 22:15:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Scott Eidler of Newsday break down Democrat Tom Suozzi’s special election victory in New York’s 3rd District and Nathan and Jacob analyze former Gov. Larry Hogan’s entry into the Maryland Senate race and more House retirements.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@ScottEidler

@InsideElections

Referenced articles: New York 3 Special: Democrats Strike Back [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/new-york-3-special-democrats-strike-back

Maryland Senate: Republicans’ Hero Hogan [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/maryland-senate-republicans-hero-hogan

Episode 15: California Senate and House Primaries w/ Melanie Mason of Politico

Thu, 01 Feb 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico discuss the upcoming California primaries including the race to replace Dianne Feinstein in the Senate and more than a dozen consequential and interesting House primaries.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@melmason

@InsideElections

Referenced articles: California Senate: Only the Top Two Survive [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/california-senate-only-the-top-two-survive

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023) Alabama - Iowa [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/news/article/2024-house-overview-dec.-15-2023-alabama-iowa

The Inside Elections Podcast is sponsored by George Washington University’s Graduate School of Political Management, or GSPM. The GSPM program offers Master’s degrees in legislative affairs and political management with in-person and online class schedules designed for the working professional.

https://getinfo.gspm.gwu.edu/

Episode 14: Iowa Caucus and Delegate Counting w/ Leah Askarinam

Wed, 17 Jan 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of 538 and the Associated Press discuss the Iowa caucus results and the intricacies of counting delegates in the presidential nominating process.

Twitter Profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@leahaskarinam

@InsideElections

Referenced Articles:

A Good Night for Trump and Polling, and other Post-Iowa Thoughts [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/a-good-night-for-trump-and-polling-and-other-post-iowa-thoughts

This 2014 House Race May Have Predicted Trump’s Success [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/this-2014-house-race-may-have-predicted-trumps-success

Beltway View Clashes with District Dynamic in Illinois’ 12th District [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/beltway-view-clashes-with-district-dynamic-in-illinois-12th

https://getinfo.gspm.gwu.edu/

Episode 13: New York Special Election and GOP Iowa Caucuses w/ Marianne LeVine of the Washington Post

Fri, 05 Jan 2024 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Marianne LeVine of the Washington Post discuss the special election to replace George Santos in New York’s 3rd District and the upcoming Republican caucuses in Iowa.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@jacobrubashkin

@marianne_levine

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

New Year, New House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/new-year-new-house-ratings

The Congresswoman and the Taxpayer-Funded TV Ads [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/the-congresswoman-cherfilus-mccormick-the-taxpayer-funded-tv-ads

Former Florida Congressman Struggles in Iowa Presidential Race [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2023/12/05/former-florida-congressman-struggles-in-iowa-presidential-race/

Episode 12: Baseline, Evenly-Divided Districts and Old Video Games

Thu, 21 Dec 2023 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Bradley Wascher discuss Inside Elections’ Baseline metric, which measures the partisan performance of every district and every state, They also dive into some of the most evenly-divided districts in the country and favorite holiday gift memories.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@bradwascher

@jacobrubashkin

@InsideElections

Referenced articles: How to the Measure the Partisanship of Every Seat [Inside Elections] https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/how-to-measure-the-partisanship-of-every-house-seat

Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District [Inside Elections] https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/methodology-inside-elections-baseline-by-congressional-district

Election Roads Go Through Bethlehem(s) [Roll Call] https://rollcall.com/2023/12/19/election-roads-go-through-bethlehems/

Sponsored by The George Washington Graduate School of

Political Management. more info at https://getinfo.gspm.gwu.edu/

Episode 11: Santos Special Election, Nepo Babies Running in the House, GOP Presidential Primary

Thu, 07 Dec 2023 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the upcoming special election in New York’s 3rd District after George Santos was expelled, talk about a the crop of Nepo Baby candidates running for the House with family connections, and look ahead to the GOP presidential primary with the Iowa caucuses creeping closer and Governor Doug Burgum dropping out of the race.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@ercovey

@jacobrubashkin

@InsideElections

Referenced articles:

The ‘Nepo Babies’ of the House of Representatives [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/the-nepo-babies-of-the-house-of-representatives

The ‘Nepo Babies’ of the Senate [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/the-nepo-babies-of-the-senate

Former Florida congressman struggles in Iowa presidential race [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2023/12/05/former-florida-congressman-struggles-in-iowa-presidential-race/

Episode 10: Manchin's Retirement, House Exodus, GOP Presidential Race

Fri, 17 Nov 2023 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the fight for the Senate after Sen. Joe Manchin’s retirement announcement, the growing batch of House retirements, and the latest in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

Twitter Profiles:

Referenced Articles:

West Virginia Senate: Manchin’s Exit Pushes Seat to Solid GOP [Inside Elections] https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/west-virginia-senate-manchins-exit-pushes-seat-to-solid-gop
Democrats Win Key Elections in 2023 [Inside Elections] https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/democrats-win-key-elections-in-2023

Episode 9: 2023 Elections, North Carolina Redistricting, GOP Presidential Race

Thu, 02 Nov 2023 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin look ahead to the key 2023 races, talk about the impact of the new maps in North Carolina and Alabama after redistricting, and discuss the GOP presidential primary without Mike Pence in the race.

Twitter profiles:

@nathanlgonzales

@ercovey

@jacobrubashkin

@InsideElections

Referenced articles: 2024 House Overview [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/edition/7/18

2024 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2024-house-ratings-september-15-2023

Episode 8: Senate Fundraising, House Open Seats, Bill & Ted's Excellent Races

Wed, 18 Oct 2023 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the big takeaways from the third quarter Senate fundraising numbers, the dearth of House open seats, including Michigan’s 7th District, and how Bill & Ted’s Excellent Adventure is connected to two House seats.

Episode 7: Speaker Fight and House Majority, California and New Jersey Senate races

Thu, 05 Oct 2023 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin discuss how the search for a new Speaker could affect the fight for the House, how the California Senate is shaping up after the appointment of Laphonza Butler, and what’s going to happen in the New Jersey Senate race after Sen. Bob Menendez was indicted, again.

Show Notes:

Twitter profiles: @nathanlgonzales @ercovey @jacobrubashkin @InsideElections

Referenced articles: California Senate: Newsom Picks Laphonza Butler to Succeed Feinstein [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/california-senate-succeeding-feinstein

New Jersey Senate: Menendez Indictment Creates Democratic Headache [Inside Elections]

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/new-jersey-senate-menendez-indictment-creates-democratic-headache

Episode 6: Fight for the House Majority, Toss-up Races, NASCAR candidate

Thu, 21 Sep 2023 13:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the fight for the House majority including the key Toss-up races, races with recent rating changes, and the Republican NASCAR driver running in Maine.

Referenced articles: 2024 House Overview [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/edition/7/18

2024 House Ratings [Inside Elections]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2024-house-ratings-september-15-2023

Episode 5: Utah, Rhode Island Specials, Governors races, Space Candidate

Thu, 07 Sep 2023 06:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin discuss the results of House special elections in Rhode Island and Utah, top races for governor in 2023 and 2024, and the congressional candidates with tickets to space.

Twitter profiles: @nathanlgonzales @ercovey @jacobrubashkin @InsideElections

Sponsored by The George Washington University Graduate School of Political Management

Episode 4: GOP Presidential Debate, Nevada Senate, and Utah Special Election

Fri, 25 Aug 2023 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the impact of the first presidential debate on the Republican primary, the Nevada Senate race, and the House special election in Utah coming up this fall.

Twitter profiles: @nathanlgonzales @ercovey @jacobrubashkin @InsideElections

Sponsored by The George Washington University Graduate School of Political Management

Episode 3: Presidential, Senate and House fundraising and House rematches

Fri, 21 Jul 2023 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin discuss fundraising and the impact of campaign finances on the presidential, House, and Senate races as well as an early look at the growing batch of House rematches as Republicans try to maintain their majority.

Show Notes

Twitter profiles: @nathanlgonzales @ercovey @jacobrubashkin @InsideElections Referenced articles: House Rematches [Inside Elections]

http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/house-rematches-second-times-the-charm

Senate and House FEC Reports [Roll Call]

https://rollcall.com/2023/07/17/house-gop-well-funded-for-24-but-schiff-censure-opens-cash-spigot/

Oregon's 5th District

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/oregon-5-a-battleground-race-around-the-bend

Sponsored by The George Washington University Graduate School of Political Management

Episode 2: GOP Senate Primaries, House Democratic primary, Vanessa Carlton Rhode Island

Fri, 07 Jul 2023 09:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Erin Covey discuss the impact of GOP recruitment on their bid for the Senate majority, a critical primary in one of Democrats’ best House takeover opportunities, and the intersection of Vanessa Carlton’s iconic song “A Thousand Miles” on the Rhode Island special election.

Twitter profiles: @nathanlgonzales @ercovey @jacobrubashkin @InsideElections Referenced article:

Oregon's 5th District

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/oregon-5-a-battleground-race-around-the-bend

https://getinfo.gspm.gwu.edu/graduate-school-political-management

Episode 1: Trump's Legal Problems, U.S. Supreme Court's Redistricting Decision, Olympic Figure Skater's run for Congress

Thu, 22 Jun 2023 16:00:00 -0400

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey, and Jacob Rubashkin discuss the impact of President Donald Trump’s mounting legal problems on congressional races, the fallout from the U.S. Supreme Court’s redistricting decision, and the difficult path for a gold-medal-winning Olympic figure skater who is poised to run for Congress.

Twitter profiles:

The Inside Elections podcast analyzes congressional, presidential and gubernatorial races in a nonpartisan, data-driven, and accessible way. With a combination of reporting and data, Inside Elections brings valuable context to complex races. Go to InsideElections.com to subscribe to the bi-weekly newsletter through individual subscriptions and group packages that are tailored for association and corporate PACs.